Expected Calibration Error (ECE) measures the gap between predicted confidence levels and actual accuracy
Image: NASA, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons
Expected Calibration Error (ECE) measures the gap between predicted confidence levels and actual accuracy
calibration means: a model predicting 80% should be correct 80% of the time
Calibration refers to a model's accuracy in predicting outcomes 80% of the time
Brier score
Brier score measures mean squared error of probability predictions
word error rate (WER) measures: edit distance between predicted and reference transcriptions
Word Error Rate (WER) measures the edit distance between predicted and reference transcriptions
Bias vs variance: high bias = underfitting, high variance = overfitting
High bias = underfitting, high variance = overfitting
Binomial proportion confidence interval
Binomial proportion confidence interval estimates success probability
log-loss / cross-entropy loss penalizes: confident wrong predictions more heavily
Log-loss penalizes confident incorrect predictions more heavily
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